Sport Picks
Bitonto vs Molfetta Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 
Match Events
6'
6'
Vivacqua F.
28'
28'
Maffei C.
50'
50'
Maffei C.
AI Match Summary
Bitonto in this Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bitonto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bitonto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Bitonto have won more games recently than Molfetta Calcio.
- 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 27%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bitonto | Molfetta Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.91 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Molfetta Calcio
3:1
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Bitonto
3:1
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Molfetta Calcio
2:1
Oct 6, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Bitonto
0:1
Feb 28, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Bitonto
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bitonto Compare
Top Goalscorer Maffei C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Corado G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Molfetta Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Vivacqua F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bitonto 33 / 100
Molfetta Calcio 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bitonto Molfetta Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Molfetta Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Molfetta Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Molfetta Calcio lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Bitonto scored in 59% of their last 34 games.
Scoring Trends
Bitonto VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bitonto
(Home) 05 May
Casarano
2 : 1 Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1 Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1 Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0 Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1 Bitonto
Page 1 of 7
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1 Altamura
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0 Palmese 1914
28 Mar
Bitonto
0 : 4 Gelbison
17 Mar
Bitonto
0 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
25 Feb
Bitonto
1 : 1 Matera
Page 1 of 4
Molfetta Calcio
(Away) 10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1 Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2 Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0 Nocerina
Page 1 of 7
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
16 Apr
Brindisi
1 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
01 Apr
Casarano
0 : 0 Molfetta Calcio
12 Mar
Gravina
0 : 0 Molfetta Calcio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brindisi | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:27 | 69 |
| 2 | Cavese | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 66:35 | 69 |
| 3 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 51:26 | 65 |
| 4 | Barletta | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 42:29 | 64 |
| 5 | Casarano | 34 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 46:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Altamura | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 51:37 | 56 |
| 7 | Matera | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 53:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 40:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:43 | 44 |
| 10 | Bitonto | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45:51 | 43 |
| 11 | Afragolese | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 41:45 | 39 |
| 12 | San Felice Gladiator | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 42:55 | 37 |
| 13 | Nocerina | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:51 | 36 |
| 14 | Gravina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 29:41 | 36 |
| 15 | Molfetta Calcio | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 40:50 | 32 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:51 | 30 |
| 17 | Lavello | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 31:68 | 26 |
| 18 | Puteolana Internapoli | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 32:59 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)
