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Bjarg vs Arendal

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Stavollen kunstgress, Bergen
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bjarg host Arendal in the Division 2 - Group 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Bjarg at 2.37 goals for, 1.21 against; Arendal at 1.87 for, 1.47 against. Past meetings favor Bjarg slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.69) point toward Bjarg. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bjarg
15%
Draws
54%
Arendal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bjarg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bjarg are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 13%
Arendal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjarg Arendal
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 24 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.37 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Bjarg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjarg 35 / 100
Arendal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjarg Arendal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bjarg's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Arendal has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bjarg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bjarg VS Arendal
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjarg

(Home)
22 Aug
Fana
1 : 3
Bjarg
16 Aug
Pors
1 : 1
Bjarg
08 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 3
Sotra
01 Aug
Lysekloster
0 : 3
Bjarg
25 Jul
Bjarg
0 : 1
Pors
Page 1 of 8

Arendal

(Away)
22 Aug
Froland
1 : 5
Arendal
15 Aug
Vidar
1 : 3
Arendal
08 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Pors
02 Aug
Sotra
3 : 0
Arendal
25 Jul
Arendal
4 : 0
Vidar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 16 11 3 2 34:17 36
2 Brattvag 16 10 2 4 32:16 32
3 Mjondalen 16 10 2 4 30:20 32
4 Kvik Halden 16 9 3 4 28:19 30
5 Sotra 16 8 3 5 32:16 27
6 Notodden 16 8 3 5 22:14 27
7 Bjarg 16 8 2 6 27:24 26
8 Traeff 16 7 4 5 29:25 25
9 Arendal 16 5 5 6 23:25 20
10 Pors 16 5 5 6 18:21 20
11 Sandviken 16 4 3 9 23:35 15
12 Lysekloster 16 3 5 8 18:32 14
13 Vidar 16 1 3 12 14:44 6
14 Eik-Tonsberg 16 1 1 14 17:39 4
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
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