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Bjarg vs Froya

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Larsson E.
30' Event
Jorgensen J.
45' Event
Dahl C.

AI Match Summary

Bjarg in this Division 3 - Group 1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bjarg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bjarg
15%
Draws
51%
Froya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Froya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Froya haven't matched Bjarg's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 20%
Froya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjarg Froya
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.26 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Bjarg vs Froya
4:1
May 16, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Froya vs Bjarg
1:2
Aug 19, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Bjarg vs Froya
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Froya vs Bjarg
1:1
Oct 25, 2014 Division 3 - Group 7
Froya vs Bjarg
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bjarg Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahl C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Larsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Froya Compare

Top Goalscorer Voster E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjarg 32 / 100
Froya 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjarg Froya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bjarg scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Froya has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Froya's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bjarg VS Froya
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjarg

(Home)
16 Aug
Pors
1 : 1
Bjarg
08 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 3
Sotra
01 Aug
Lysekloster
0 : 3
Bjarg
25 Jul
Bjarg
0 : 1
Pors
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
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Froya

(Away)
27 Oct
Forde
2 : 1
Froya
20 Oct
Froya
3 : 0
Floro
05 Oct
OS TF
1 : 3
Froya
30 Sept
Froya
0 : 1
Haugesund 2
21 Sept
Fana
5 : 3
Froya
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