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Bjarg vs Notodden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Stavollen kunstgress, Bergen
Bjarg Logo

Bjarg

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Notodden Logo

Notodden

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bjarg host Notodden in the Division 2 - Group 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Notodden have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Bjarg have conceded 1.27 and scored 2.41. Head-to-head, Bjarg have won 1 to Notodden's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Bjarg. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bjarg
15%
Draws
21%
Notodden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bjarg come out ahead of Notodden on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bjarg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 16%
Notodden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjarg Notodden
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 24 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.41 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Bjarg
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjarg 84 / 100
Notodden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjarg Notodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjarg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bjarg's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Solid form: Bjarg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Notodden's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Notodden let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bjarg VS Notodden
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjarg

(Home)
03 Oct
Kvik Halden
2 : 3
Bjarg
27 Sept
Eik-Tonsberg
0 : 2
Bjarg
20 Sept
Bjarg
6 : 1
Traeff
16 Sept
Bjarg
1 : 4
Bryne
12 Sept
Vidar
1 : 4
Bjarg
Page 1 of 8

Notodden

(Away)
03 Oct
Notodden
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
26 Sept
Jerv
1 : 0
Notodden
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 22 16 4 2 47:21 52
2 Brattvag 22 14 3 5 47:28 45
3 Bjarg 22 14 2 6 47:28 44
4 Mjondalen 22 14 2 6 43:28 44
5 Sotra 22 12 3 7 47:25 39
6 Notodden 22 10 5 7 31:20 35
7 Kvik Halden 22 10 4 8 34:27 34
8 Traeff 22 8 6 8 36:44 30
9 Pors 22 7 5 10 28:31 26
10 Arendal 22 7 5 10 30:38 26
11 Sandviken 22 7 4 11 33:45 25
12 Lysekloster 22 3 6 13 26:48 15
13 Eik-Tonsberg 22 3 1 18 24:50 10
14 Vidar 22 2 4 16 20:60 10
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