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Bjarg vs Sotra

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Stavollen kunstgress, Bergen
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bjarg host Sotra in the Division 2 - Group 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Bjarg have averaged 1.88 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Sotra's 2 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Sotra slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 2.00) back Bjarg to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bjarg
6%
Draws
4%
Sotra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sotra haven't matched Bjarg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bjarg a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 10%
Sotra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjarg Sotra
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Bjarg
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Bjarg vs Sotra
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Sotra vs Bjarg
2:0
Jan 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Sotra vs Bjarg
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Sotra vs Bjarg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjarg 83 / 100
Sotra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjarg Sotra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BJA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bjarg scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Sotra let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Bjarg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bjarg VS Sotra
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjarg

(Home)
25 Jul
Bjarg
0 : 1
Pors
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
20 Jun
Bjarg
3 : 1
Vidar
14 Jun
Traeff
2 : 3
Bjarg
30 May
Bjarg
2 : 0
Eik-Tonsberg
Page 1 of 6

Sotra

(Away)
25 Jul
Notodden
1 : 0
Sotra
28 Jun
Sotra
1 : 3
Jerv
20 Jun
Kvik Halden
2 : 1
Sotra
14 Jun
Sotra
0 : 1
Brattvag
31 May
Arendal
1 : 1
Sotra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jerv13102126:1232
2Mjondalen1382327:1826
3Brattvag1381425:1425
4Kvik Halden1373322:1424
5Bjarg1371522:2022
6Notodden1363420:1121
7Traeff1354424:2119
8Sotra1353524:1418
9Pors1353515:1718
10Arendal1335518:2014
11Lysekloster1335517:2514
12Sandviken1342717:2714
13Eik-Tonsberg13111113:324
14Vidar1303109:343
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
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