Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bjarg vs Sotra

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Stavollen kunstgress, Bergen
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hjorteseth I.
30'
Johansen A.
46'
Sub
Halset V. In: Brattreit E.
Out: Halset V.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Bjarg and Sotra finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sotra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bjarg
15%
Draws
36%
Sotra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sotra haven't matched Bjarg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bjarg a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 10%
Sotra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjarg Sotra
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 20 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.21 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Bjarg vs Sotra
1:3
May 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Bjarg
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Bjarg vs Sotra
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Sotra vs Bjarg
2:0
Jan 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Sotra vs Bjarg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bjarg Compare

Top Goalscorer Brattreit E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sotra Compare

Top Goalscorer Hjorteseth I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torum D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjarg 65 / 100
Sotra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjarg Sotra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjarg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bjarg scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Bjarg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sotra has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bjarg VS Sotra
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjarg

(Home)
20 Sept
Bjarg
6 : 1
Traeff
16 Sept
Bjarg
1 : 4
Bryne
12 Sept
Vidar
1 : 4
Bjarg
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
Page 1 of 7

Sotra

(Away)
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1
Sotra
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Sandviken
05 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Vidar
30 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 3
Sotra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 20 15 3 2 43:18 48
2 Brattvag 20 12 3 5 41:24 39
3 Bjarg 20 12 2 6 42:26 38
4 Mjondalen 20 12 2 6 36:27 38
5 Sotra 20 11 3 6 42:20 36
6 Notodden 20 10 5 5 30:16 35
7 Kvik Halden 20 9 4 7 28:24 31
8 Traeff 20 8 6 6 36:36 30
9 Arendal 20 7 5 8 28:34 26
10 Pors 20 6 5 9 22:27 23
11 Sandviken 20 5 4 11 29:43 19
12 Lysekloster 20 3 5 12 21:42 14
13 Vidar 20 2 4 14 18:53 10
14 Eik-Tonsberg 20 2 1 17 21:47 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)