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Bjarg vs Tertnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bjarg in this Division 3 - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bjarg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bjarg
15%
Draws
46%
Tertnes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tertnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tertnes haven't matched Bjarg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bjarg's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 20%
Tertnes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjarg Tertnes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.33 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Bjarg vs Tertnes
3:1
Jun 25, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Tertnes vs Bjarg
5:0
Aug 22, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Tertnes vs Bjarg
2:3
May 2, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Bjarg vs Tertnes
0:3
Sep 14, 2013 Division 3 - Group 8
Tertnes vs Bjarg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjarg 36 / 100
Tertnes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjarg Tertnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bjarg scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tertnes conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bjarg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bjarg VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjarg

(Home)
08 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 3
Sotra
01 Aug
Lysekloster
0 : 3
Bjarg
25 Jul
Bjarg
0 : 1
Pors
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
20 Jun
Bjarg
3 : 1
Vidar
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Tertnes

(Away)
27 Oct
Tertnes
3 : 2
Oystese
20 Oct
Sogndal 2
1 : 0
Tertnes
13 Oct
Sotra
4 : 3
Tertnes
06 Oct
Tertnes
1 : 0
Viking 2
29 Sept
Brodd
3 : 3
Tertnes
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