Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bjelovar vs Gaj Mace

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2022/2023
Wed, Aug 31, 2022
1 - 0
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

118'
Postonjski D.
118'
Postonjski D.
120' Event
Ljevar M.

AI Match Summary

Bjelovar in this Croatian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bjelovar
15%
Draws
32%
Gaj Mace
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bjelovar lately — more wins on the board than Gaj Mace.
  • Win probability leans Bjelovar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bjelovar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bjelovar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 20%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjelovar Gaj Mace
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2022 Croatian Cup
Bjelovar vs Gaj Mace
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bjelovar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljevar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Gaj Mace Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjelovar 85 / 100
Gaj Mace 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjelovar Gaj Mace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjelovar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Bjelovar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Bjelovar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Gaj Mace has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bjelovar VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjelovar

(Home)
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Uskok Klis
2 : 3
Bjelovar
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 4
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 6

Gaj Mace

(Away)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Belisce 3
BSK Buk 0
Bijelo Brdo 5
Marsonia 1
Moslavina 3
Medjimurje 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vuteks Sloga 1
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
Radnik Krizevci 1
Dubrava Zagreb 3
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bjelovar 1
Gaj Mace 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Bistra 2
Vodice 1
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
RNK Split -
TBD -
TBD -
Cibalia -
Slavonac Bukovlje 0
Borinci 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
NK Nedelisce 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
TBD -
Zapresic -
Solin 6
Funtana 1
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Sava Strmec 4
Bednja Beletinec 6
TBD -
Rudes -
Neretva 0
Grobnican 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Nehaj Senj 0
Primorac Biograd 4
TBD -
Varazdin -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Karlovac 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Virovitica 0
Mladost Zdralovi 6
TBD -
Oriolik -
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 4
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
1/16-finals
Belisce 1
Bijelo Brdo 5
Moslavina 1
Rijeka 2
Jadran Porec 1
Sibenik 2
Dubrava Zagreb 2
HNK Gorica 3
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 2
Bistra 1
Lok. Zagreb 6
RNK Split 2
Cibalia 0
Borinci 0
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Nedelisce 3
Zapresic 0
Solin 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rudes 3
Grobnican 1
Istra 1961 2
Primorac Biograd 1
Varazdin 4
Papuk Orahovica 0
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 6
Oriolik 0
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 1
Hajduk Split 5
1/8-finals
Bijelo Brdo 2
Rijeka 1
Sibenik 2
HNK Gorica 0
Bjelovar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
RNK Split 1
Din. Zagreb 3
NK Nedelisce 0
Slaven Belupo 6
Rudes 2
Istra 1961 1
Varazdin 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 2
Quarter-finals
Bijelo Brdo 0
Sibenik 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slaven Belupo 2
Rudes 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 2
Semi-finals
Sibenik 2
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Final
Sibenik 0
Hajduk Split 2