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BK Astrio vs Qviding

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BK Astrio play Qviding in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, BK Astrio averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Qviding averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, BK Astrio won 1, Qviding won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for BK Astrio and 2.13 for Qviding. This points to a Qviding double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
BK Astrio
20%
Draws
55%
Qviding
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qviding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • BK Astrio picked up more points recently compared to Qviding.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
BK Astrio Clean Sheet 10%
Qviding Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BK Astrio Qviding
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.97 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Qviding
0:3
Jun 27, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Qviding
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Qviding vs BK Astrio
4:2
Sep 7, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Qviding vs BK Astrio
4:3
May 11, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Qviding
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BK Astrio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Qviding Compare

Top Goalscorer Parsmo V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahlgren N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BK Astrio 25 / 100
Qviding 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BK Astrio Qviding

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qviding Win (2)
Secondary Pick Qviding & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

BK Astrio attacking → ← attacking Qviding

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BK Astrio scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Qviding let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

BK Astrio went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Qviding lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 40
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Landvetter14111225:834
2Frolunda1475232:1926
3Dalstorps1475227:1626
4Jonsereds1473423:2324
5Hestrafors1472529:2523
6Lindome1464426:2222
7Boljan1455420:1920
8Qviding1453629:2918
9Onsala1445521:2417
10Torslanda1437418:2016
11Astorps1435618:2714
12Kongahalla1425714:2711
13Galtabacks1423920:259
14BK Astrio14131010:286