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BK Astrio vs Savedalen

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Petersson I.
90' Event
Lindau L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024 game between BK Astrio and Savedalen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BK Astrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
BK Astrio
15%
Draws
85%
Savedalen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Savedalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Savedalen come out ahead of BK Astrio on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Savedalen's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • BK Astrio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
BK Astrio Clean Sheet 10%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BK Astrio Savedalen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Savedalen
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs BK Astrio
1:4
Oct 8, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Savedalen
1:2
Jun 22, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs BK Astrio
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs BK Astrio
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BK Astrio Compare

Top Goalscorer Petersson I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindau L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Savedalen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BK Astrio 26 / 100
Savedalen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BK Astrio Savedalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savedalen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savedalen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Savedalen's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

BK Astrio scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

BK Astrio VS Savedalen
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

BK Astrio

(Home)
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
22 Aug
BK Astrio
0 : 1
Boljan
14 Aug
Lindome
2 : 0
BK Astrio
09 Aug
BK Astrio
0 : 6
Torslanda
Page 1 of 7

Savedalen

(Away)
02 Jun
Savedalen
2 : 3
Boljan
01 Nov
Kumla
2 : 0
Savedalen
25 Oct
Savedalen
1 : 0
Kumla
02 Nov
Savedalen
1 : 4
Astorps
26 Oct
Astorps
3 : 1
Savedalen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 26 16 7 3 44:27 55
2 BK Astrio 26 17 3 6 63:30 54
3 Qviding 26 16 4 6 68:43 52
4 Varbergs GIF 26 15 5 6 49:30 50
5 Landvetter 26 13 6 7 56:44 45
6 Frolunda 26 9 9 8 58:50 36
7 Tord 26 10 6 10 45:39 36
8 Laholms 26 9 4 13 46:52 31
9 Lindome 26 8 5 13 49:50 29
10 Bergdalens IK 26 8 4 14 53:70 28
11 Jonsereds 26 8 4 14 36:54 28
12 Savedalen 26 6 9 11 33:57 27
13 Ockero IF 26 5 6 15 36:57 21
14 Hittarp 26 3 6 17 21:54 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)