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BK Astrio vs Savedalen

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Petersson I.
90' Event
Lindau L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024 game between BK Astrio and Savedalen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BK Astrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
BK Astrio
39%
Draws
30%
Savedalen
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BK Astrio come out ahead of Savedalen on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • BK Astrio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
BK Astrio Clean Sheet 15%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BK Astrio Savedalen
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Savedalen
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs BK Astrio
1:4
Oct 8, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Savedalen
1:2
Jun 22, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs BK Astrio
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs BK Astrio
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BK Astrio Compare

Top Goalscorer Petersson I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindau L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Savedalen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BK Astrio 31 / 100
Savedalen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BK Astrio Savedalen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savedalen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Savedalen's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

BK Astrio scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

BK Astrio VS Savedalen
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna26167344:2755
2BK Astrio26173663:3054
3Qviding26164668:4352
4Varbergs GIF26155649:3050
5Landvetter26136756:4445
6Frolunda2699858:5036
7Tord261061045:3936
8Laholms26941346:5231
9Lindome26851349:5029
10Bergdalens IK26841453:7028
11Jonsereds26841436:5428
12Savedalen26691133:5727
13Ockero IF26561536:5721
14Hittarp26361721:5415