Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BK Ljungsbro vs Smedby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Unger J.
48' Event
Ibrahimovic A.
81' Event
Andersson A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024 game between BK Ljungsbro and Smedby finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smedby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
BK Ljungsbro
17%
Draws
70%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smedby come out ahead of BK Ljungsbro on wins alone.
  • Smedby are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
BK Ljungsbro Clean Sheet 10%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BK Ljungsbro Smedby
Matches Played 26 37
Wins 5 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0 3
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
BK Ljungsbro vs Smedby
0:3
Jun 25, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs BK Ljungsbro
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BK Ljungsbro Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Unger J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibrahimovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BK Ljungsbro 14 / 100
Smedby 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BK Ljungsbro Smedby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

BK Ljungsbro scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Smedby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 37 matches.

Difficult form: Smedby registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Smedby
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haninge26213286:3366
2Sylvia26156551:2851
3Arameisk-Syrianska26144852:3946
4Nykopings26136752:4245
5Atvidaberg261241047:4140
6Syrianska26117842:4140
7Huddinge261041239:3334
8Sleipner26971040:4834
9Enskede261031338:4133
10Nacka FC26951241:4532
11Smedby26851338:4329
12IFK Eskilstuna26671344:6125
13BK Ljungsbro26571435:5922
14Mjolby AI FF26422033:8414