Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BKMA 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025/2026 game between BKMA 2 and Ararat Yerevan 2 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BKMA 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
BKMA 2
15%
Draws
39%
Ararat Yerevan 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BKMA 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • BKMA 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives BKMA 2 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors BKMA 2 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
BKMA 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Ararat Yerevan 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKMA 2 Ararat Yerevan 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.57 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.83 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 First League
BKMA 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2
4:0
Oct 28, 2025 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs BKMA 2
2:4
Apr 15, 2025 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs BKMA 2
0:2
Sep 27, 2024 First League
BKMA 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2
6:0
May 16, 2024 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs BKMA 2
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKMA 2 85 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKMA 2 Ararat Yerevan 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKMA 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BKMA 2 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ararat Yerevan 2 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

BKMA 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

BKMA 2 VS Ararat Yerevan 2
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

BKMA 2

(Home)
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
14 Sept
BKMA 2
1 : 4
Andranik
08 Sept
Sardarapat 2
0 : 4
BKMA 2
01 Sept
BKMA 2
2 : 0
Bentonit
19 Aug
Urartu 2
3 : 2
BKMA 2
Page 1 of 6

Ararat Yerevan 2

(Away)
22 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
2 : 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
14 Sept
Noah 2
0 : 4
Ararat Yerevan 2
07 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
0 : 1
Olympia Yerevan
19 Aug
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
09 Aug
Araks Ararat
3 : 1
Ararat Yerevan 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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