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BKMA 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BKMA 2 host Ararat Yerevan 2 in the First League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ararat Yerevan 2 have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while BKMA 2 have conceded 0.72 and scored 2.31. Head-to-head, BKMA 2 have won 5 to Ararat Yerevan 2's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.00) point toward BKMA 2. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
BKMA 2
15%
Draws
39%
Ararat Yerevan 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BKMA 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BKMA 2 lately — more wins on the board than Ararat Yerevan 2.
  • BKMA 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BKMA 2 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
BKMA 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Ararat Yerevan 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKMA 2 Ararat Yerevan 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.31 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.72 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 First League
BKMA 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2
4:0
Oct 28, 2025 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs BKMA 2
2:4
Apr 15, 2025 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs BKMA 2
0:2
Sep 27, 2024 First League
BKMA 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2
6:0
May 16, 2024 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs BKMA 2
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKMA 2 42 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKMA 2 Ararat Yerevan 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BKMA 2 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ararat Yerevan 2 conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

BKMA 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BKMA 2 VS Ararat Yerevan 2
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BKMA 2

(Home)
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
14 Sept
BKMA 2
1 : 4
Andranik
08 Sept
Sardarapat 2
0 : 4
BKMA 2
01 Sept
BKMA 2
2 : 0
Bentonit
19 Aug
Urartu 2
3 : 2
BKMA 2
Page 1 of 6

Ararat Yerevan 2

(Away)
22 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
2 : 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
14 Sept
Noah 2
0 : 4
Ararat Yerevan 2
07 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
0 : 1
Olympia Yerevan
19 Aug
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
09 Aug
Araks Ararat
3 : 1
Ararat Yerevan 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Bentonit 7 4 2 1 24:15 14
4 Andranik 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
5 Lernayin Artsakh 7 4 0 3 16:14 12
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
7 Araks Ararat 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Mika 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
9 Urartu 2 7 1 4 2 10:16 7
10 Shirak Gyumri 2 6 2 1 3 5:11 7
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 7 1 2 4 7:12 5
14 Sardarapat 2 7 1 0 6 4:15 3
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