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BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction & H2H Stats

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Arakelyan G.
25' Event
Hovhannisyan N.
42'
Manukyan P.

AI Match Summary

Ararat-Armenia in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat-Armenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
BKMA
15%
Draws
48%
Ararat-Armenia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ararat-Armenia have won more games recently than BKMA.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ararat-Armenia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
BKMA Clean Sheet 20%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKMA Ararat-Armenia
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 20
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA
2:1
Sep 29, 2025 Premier League
BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia
2:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA
4:0
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BKMA Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovhannisyan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avetisyan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Eloyan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Queiros J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKMA 32 / 100
Ararat-Armenia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKMA Ararat-Armenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

BKMA found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Ararat-Armenia let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: BKMA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BKMA VS Ararat-Armenia
1.14 Goals Scored 1.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BKMA

(Home)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
23 Aug
BKMA
0 : 1
Noah
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Ararat-Armenia

(Away)
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0
Syunik
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
31 Aug
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ararat-Armenia 27 18 6 3 50:25 60
2 Noah 27 16 8 3 61:19 56
3 Pyunik Yerevan 27 17 4 6 37:18 55
4 Alashkert 27 16 5 6 42:23 53
5 Urartu 27 14 7 6 43:26 49
6 Van 27 9 4 14 27:40 31
7 BKMA 27 4 11 12 30:42 23
8 FC Gandzasar 27 5 6 16 20:41 21
9 Ararat Yerevan 27 3 4 20 21:63 13
10 Shirak Gyumri 27 2 7 18 17:51 13
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