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BKMA vs Ararat Yerevan

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Davtyan D.
36' Event
Alekyan P.
43' Event
Harutyunyan D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between BKMA and Ararat Yerevan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ararat Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
BKMA
15%
Draws
39%
Ararat Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BKMA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives BKMA a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
BKMA Clean Sheet 68%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKMA Ararat Yerevan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Ararat Yerevan
1:2
May 26, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
BKMA vs Ararat Yerevan
4:0
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA
2:2
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BKMA Compare

Top Goalscorer Harutyunyan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Alekyan P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Handzongo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKMA 68 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKMA Ararat Yerevan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKMA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ararat Yerevan conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

BKMA's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

BKMA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BKMA VS Ararat Yerevan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BKMA

(Home)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
23 Aug
BKMA
0 : 1
Noah
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Ararat Yerevan

(Away)
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0
Syunik
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
21 Aug
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 2
Pyunik Yerevan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 8 4 3 1 18:6 15
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 8 1 1 6 4:21 4
11 FC Gandzasar 8 1 0 7 8:20 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)