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BKMA vs Urartu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Hovhannisyan N.
28'
Dokhoyan D.
35'
Manukyan P.

AI Match Summary

BKMA in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BKMA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
BKMA
30%
Draws
29%
Urartu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BKMA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Urartu lately — more wins on the board than BKMA.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on BKMA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
BKMA Clean Sheet 17%
Urartu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKMA Urartu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Urartu
2:1
Mar 20, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Urartu
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs BKMA
4:1
Aug 2, 2025 Premier League
BKMA vs Urartu
1:1
May 11, 2025 Premier League
BKMA vs Urartu
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BKMA Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovhannisyan N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Urartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKMA 36 / 100
Urartu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKMA Urartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKMA found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Urartu let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

BKMA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

BKMA VS Urartu
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BKMA

(Home)
12 Oct
Pyunik Yerevan
5 : 0
BKMA
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
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Urartu

(Away)
11 Oct
Urartu
2 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 9 9 0 0 26:6 27
2 Pyunik Yerevan 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
3 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
4 Alashkert 10 5 4 1 24:8 19
5 Sardarapat 10 4 3 3 17:18 15
6 Urartu 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
7 Shirak Gyumri 9 3 1 5 11:12 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
9 BKMA 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 Syunik 10 1 2 7 6:22 5
12 FC Gandzasar 10 1 0 9 9:24 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)