Sport Picks
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Polonia Nysa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group III 
Match Events
38'
38'
Zalucki J.
63'
63'
Zagiel F.
72'
72'
Klis T.
AI Match Summary
BKS Sparta Katowice in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored BKS Sparta Katowice.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to BKS Sparta Katowice lately — more wins on the board than Polonia Nysa.
- Win probability leans BKS Sparta Katowice's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- BKS Sparta Katowice have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BKS Sparta Katowice | Polonia Nysa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Polonia Nysa
4:0
May 24, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs BKS Sparta Katowice
2:3
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Polonia Nysa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BKS Sparta Katowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Zalucki J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zagiel F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Polonia Nysa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BKS Sparta Katowice 49 / 100
Polonia Nysa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BKS Sparta Katowice Polonia Nysa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BKS Sparta Katowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BKS Sparta Katowice found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.
Polonia Nysa let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
BKS Sparta Katowice went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
BKS Sparta Katowice VS Polonia Nysa
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
BKS Sparta Katowice
(Home) 10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0 BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2 BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1 Kluczbork
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1 BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1 Kluczbork
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0 Polonia Nysa
29 Aug
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
22 Aug
BKS Sparta Katowice
3 : 0 Sleza Wroclaw
Page 1 of 3
Polonia Nysa
(Away) 10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1 Polonia Nysa
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2 Legnica II
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3 Polonia Nysa
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1 Polonia Nysa
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3 Polonia Nysa
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0 Polonia Nysa
22 Aug
Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 : 0 Polonia Nysa
15 Aug
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1 Polonia Nysa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Zaglebie II | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Bytom Odrzanski | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12:5 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sulow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Legnica II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 17 |
| 8 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 17 |
| 9 | Stilon Gorzow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 10 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzow | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 13 | Brzeg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:17 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 15 | Sleza Wroclaw | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:26 | 10 |
| 16 | RKS Rakow Czestochowa II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
