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BKS Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BKS Sparta Katowice host ROW Rybnik in the III Liga - Group III. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. ROW Rybnik have shipped 2.14 goals a game lately, while BKS Sparta Katowice have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.86. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.00 - 1.31) back BKS Sparta Katowice to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
BKS Sparta Katowice
35%
Draws
27%
ROW Rybnik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • ROW Rybnik haven't matched BKS Sparta Katowice's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 18%
ROW Rybnik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKS Sparta Katowice ROW Rybnik
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.86 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKS Sparta Katowice 31 / 100
ROW Rybnik 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKS Sparta Katowice ROW Rybnik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Sparta Katowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKS Sparta Katowice found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

BKS Sparta Katowice went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: ROW Rybnik conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

ROW Rybnik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BKS Sparta Katowice VS ROW Rybnik
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

BKS Sparta Katowice

(Home)
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1
Kluczbork
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0
Polonia Nysa
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ROW Rybnik

(Away)
03 Oct
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
ROW Rybnik
26 Sept
ROW Rybnik
4 : 3
Brzeg
19 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
0 : 0
ROW Rybnik
12 Sept
ROW Rybnik
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
05 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
3 : 2
ROW Rybnik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
7 Stilon Gorzow 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)