Sport Picks
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group III 
Match Events
38'
38'
Bedronka M.
Own Goal
90'
90'
Mazurek M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group III game between BKS Sparta Katowice and Warta Gorzow finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and BKS Sparta Katowice come out ahead of Warta Gorzow on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on BKS Sparta Katowice taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 20%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BKS Sparta Katowice | Warta Gorzow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzow
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzow
3:4
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs BKS Sparta Katowice
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BKS Sparta Katowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazurek M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Warta Gorzow Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BKS Sparta Katowice 85 / 100
Warta Gorzow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BKS Sparta Katowice Warta Gorzow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BKS Sparta Katowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BKS Sparta Katowice found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
BKS Sparta Katowice went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Warta Gorzow has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
BKS Sparta Katowice VS Warta Gorzow
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
BKS Sparta Katowice
(Home) 03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2 BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1 Kluczbork
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1 BKS Sparta Katowice
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0 Polonia Nysa
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1 Kluczbork
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0 Polonia Nysa
29 Aug
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
22 Aug
BKS Sparta Katowice
3 : 0 Sleza Wroclaw
Page 1 of 3
Warta Gorzow
(Away) 03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1 Sleza Wroclaw
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0 Brzeg
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
22 Aug
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1 Warta Gorzow
15 Aug
Barycz Sulow
2 : 2 Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Zaglebie II | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Bytom Odrzanski | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12:5 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sulow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Legnica II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 17 |
| 8 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 17 |
| 9 | Stilon Gorzow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 10 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzow | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 13 | Brzeg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:17 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 15 | Sleza Wroclaw | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:26 | 10 |
| 16 | RKS Rakow Czestochowa II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
