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Blackburn U23 vs Manchester City U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Lancashire County Ground
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blackburn U23 play Manchester City U23 in the Premier League 2 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Blackburn U23 averaged 2.06 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Manchester City U23 averaged 2.62 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Blackburn U23 won 1, Manchester City U23 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 9, 2022 ended 3:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Blackburn U23 and 1.63 for Manchester City U23. This points to a Manchester City U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Blackburn U23
27%
Draws
44%
Manchester City U23
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Manchester City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Blackburn U23 picked up more points recently compared to Manchester City U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Blackburn U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Manchester City U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blackburn U23 Manchester City U23
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 2.06 2.62
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2022 Premier League 2
Blackburn U23 vs Manchester City U23
3:5
Aug 20, 2021 Premier League 2
Manchester City U23 vs Blackburn U23
4:2
Jan 25, 2021 Premier League 2
Manchester City U23 vs Blackburn U23
1:1
Sep 18, 2020 Premier League 2
Blackburn U23 vs Manchester City U23
2:1
Apr 6, 2020 Premier League 2
Manchester City U23 vs Blackburn U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blackburn U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wharton A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McBride C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Manchester City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Chagas K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McAtee J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackburn U23 29 / 100
Manchester City U23 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blackburn U23 Manchester City U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Manchester City U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Blackburn U23 attacking → ← attacking Manchester City U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blackburn U23 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Manchester City U23 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Blackburn U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Manchester City U23 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 63
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manchester City U2326166465:3254
2West Ham U2326153859:3948
3Arsenal U23261011556:4841
4Liverpool U2326117847:3740
5Crystal Palace U23261231154:5039
6Manchester United U2326116946:4339
7Tottenham U2326107949:4537
8Leicester U2326107938:5337
9Blackburn U232698950:5635
10Brighton U2326971041:4134
11Everton U2326851333:5429
12Chelsea U2326771239:4728
13Leeds U2326761344:4927
14Derby U2326431931:5815
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fulham U2326202464:2762
2Wolves U2326145746:3747
3Stoke City U2326127734:3643
4Nottingham U2326126852:3142
5Norwich U23261231164:5239
6Burnley U2326116946:3939
7Southampton U23261231145:4239
8Newcastle Utd U23261221251:5638
9West Brom U23261051144:5435
10Aston Villa U2326951253:5132
11Birmingham U2326751434:5126
12Middlesbrough U2326821631:5026
13Sunderland U2326731635:4924
14Reading U2326581332:5623