Sport Picks
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Ewood Park, Blackburn 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sarmiento J.
Assist: Whittaker M.
24'
24'
Afolayan O.
45'
45'
McLoughlin S.
AI Match Summary
Blackburn in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blackburn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Middlesbrough lately — more wins on the board than Blackburn.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Middlesbrough taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Blackburn Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blackburn | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Championship
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Championship
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Blackburn
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Championship
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough
0:2
Jan 11, 2025 FA Cup
Middlesbrough vs Blackburn
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blackburn Compare
Top Goalscorer Gudjohnsen A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cantwell T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Middlesbrough Compare
Top Goalscorer Sarmiento J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blackburn 10 / 100
Middlesbrough 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blackburn Middlesbrough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Blackburn scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Middlesbrough has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Blackburn went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Blackburn VS Middlesbrough
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Blackburn
(Home) 31 Oct
Swansea
4 : 0 Blackburn
24 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 0 Wrexham
17 Oct
West Brom
3 : 2 Blackburn
13 Oct
Bristol City
0 : 1 Blackburn
10 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 1 Cardiff
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 0 Wrexham
10 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 1 Cardiff
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1 Millwall
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
29 Aug
Blackburn
1 : 2 QPR
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough
(Away) 31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 Charlton
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Cardiff
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
10 Oct
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wolves
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
19 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
