Sport Picks
Blackburn vs Stoke City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Ewood Park, Blackburn 
Match Events
30'
30'
Soumare D.
33'
33'
Carter H.
41'
41'
Sub
Alebiosu R. In: Beyuku G.
Out: Alebiosu R.
AI Match Summary
Stoke City in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stoke City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stoke City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Stoke City lately — more wins on the board than Blackburn.
- Stoke City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Blackburn Clean Sheet 13%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blackburn | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 Championship
Blackburn vs Stoke City
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Stoke City vs Blackburn
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Championship
Blackburn vs Stoke City
1:1
Mar 12, 2025 Championship
Stoke City vs Blackburn
1:0
Nov 6, 2024 Championship
Blackburn vs Stoke City
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blackburn Compare
Top Goalscorer Gudjohnsen A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Stoke City Compare
Top Goalscorer McGlynn J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blackburn 22 / 100
Stoke City 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blackburn Stoke City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stoke City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Blackburn found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Stoke City conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Blackburn stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Blackburn VS Stoke City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Blackburn
(Home) 03 Nov
Blackburn
1 : 2 Stoke City
31 Oct
Swansea
4 : 0 Blackburn
24 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 0 Wrexham
17 Oct
West Brom
3 : 2 Blackburn
13 Oct
Bristol City
0 : 1 Blackburn
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Blackburn
1 : 2 Stoke City
24 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 0 Wrexham
10 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 1 Cardiff
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1 Millwall
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 3
Stoke City
(Away) 03 Nov
Blackburn
1 : 2 Stoke City
31 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 0 Preston
24 Oct
Stoke City
0 : 0 Bristol City
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1 Stoke City
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Blackburn
1 : 2 Stoke City
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1 Stoke City
10 Oct
Bolton
1 : 2 Stoke City
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
