Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blackburn vs Wrexham

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Ewood Park, Blackburn
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Smith S.
Assist: James M.
30'
Baradji M.
37'
Cantwell T.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Blackburn and Wrexham finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wrexham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Blackburn
30%
Draws
39%
Wrexham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wrexham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Blackburn have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Wrexham are scoring more at 1.31.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Blackburn taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Blackburn Clean Sheet 68%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blackburn Wrexham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 1, 2026 Championship
Blackburn vs Wrexham
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Blackburn
1:1
Jan 29, 2024 FA Cup
Blackburn vs Wrexham
4:1
Jul 6, 2013 Club Friendly
Wrexham vs Blackburn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blackburn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rathbone O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackburn 59 / 100
Wrexham 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blackburn Wrexham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blackburn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blackburn scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Wrexham has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Blackburn stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blackburn VS Wrexham
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Blackburn

(Home)
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Preston
2 : 1
Blackburn
01 Sept
Lincoln City
0 : 0
Blackburn
29 Aug
Blackburn
1 : 2
QPR
Page 1 of 6

Wrexham

(Away)
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2
Birmingham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)