Sport Picks

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Blackburn W vs Durham W

England England

Women's League Cup 2024/2025 Lancashire County Ground, Leyland
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Riglar G.
Assist: Dahou J.
23'
Dahou J.
46'
Sub
Wilson S. In: Salicki B.
Out: Wilson S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Durham W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Blackburn W
15%
Draws
0%
Durham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blackburn W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blackburn W come out ahead of Durham W on wins alone.
  • Durham W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Blackburn W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Durham W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Durham W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Blackburn W Clean Sheet 22%
Durham W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blackburn W Durham W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Blackburn W
3:2
Nov 3, 2024 WSL 2
Blackburn W vs Durham W
2:3
Oct 2, 2024 Women's League Cup
Blackburn W vs Durham W
1:2
Mar 3, 2024 WSL 2
Blackburn W vs Durham W
2:2
Oct 22, 2023 WSL 2
Durham W vs Blackburn W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blackburn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Riglar G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Novak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ryan-Doyle E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackburn W 10 / 100
Durham W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blackburn W Durham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Durham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Durham W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Blackburn W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Durham W
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blackburn W

(Home)
26 Oct
Burnley W
12 : 0
Blackburn W
04 May
Blackburn W
1 : 5
Newcastle Utd W
27 Apr
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Blackburn W
20 Apr
Sheffield Utd W
0 : 0
Blackburn W
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd W
6 : 0
Blackburn W
Page 1 of 6

Durham W

(Away)
27 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
4 : 1
Durham W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
30 Aug
Liverpool W
7 : 1
Durham W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Liverpool W 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 Everton W 3 1 0 2 1:7 2
4 Newcastle Utd W 3 0 0 3 5:12 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Durham W 3 3 0 0 5:3 8
2 Blackburn W 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Sunderland W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Sheffield Utd W 3 0 0 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 London City Lionesses W 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Southampton FC W 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Portsmouth W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton W 3 2 0 1 9:2 7
2 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Birmingham W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Bristol City W 3 1 0 2 4:10 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Aston Villa W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Crystal Palace W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Charlton W 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)