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Blackburn W vs Portsmouth W

England England

Women’s Championship 2024/2025 Ewood Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blackburn W play Portsmouth W in the Women’s Championship 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Blackburn W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Portsmouth W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.22 conceded. In past meetings, Blackburn W won 2, Portsmouth W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Blackburn W and 4.00 for Portsmouth W. This points to a Blackburn W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Blackburn W
15%
Draws
36%
Portsmouth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blackburn W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Blackburn W picked up more points recently compared to Portsmouth W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Blackburn W Clean Sheet 10%
Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blackburn W Portsmouth W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.22
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 12.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 WSL 2
Portsmouth W vs Blackburn W
4:0
Jan 15, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Blackburn W vs Portsmouth W
1:3
Nov 17, 2024 WSL 2
Blackburn W vs Portsmouth W
2:0
Jan 7, 2018 Women’s FA Cup
Blackburn W vs Portsmouth W
7:0
Feb 1, 2015 Women’s FA Cup
Blackburn W vs Portsmouth W
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blackburn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Portsmouth W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackburn W 46 / 100
Portsmouth W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blackburn W Portsmouth W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Blackburn W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Blackburn W attacking → ← attacking Portsmouth W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blackburn W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Portsmouth W let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Blackburn W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Portsmouth W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 24
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
12.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1London City Lionesses W20134338:1743
2Birmingham W20125334:1541
3Charlton W20107338:2137
4Durham W20113635:2736
5Newcastle Utd W2097438:2434
6Bristol City W2086634:2430
7Sunderland W2093830:3430
8Southampton FC W2056922:2521
9Portsmouth W20341316:4813
10Blackburn W20331416:4112
11Sheffield Utd W20141512:377