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Blackpool vs Barrow

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Bloomfield Road, Blackpool
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Banks S.
12' Event
Fletcher A.
Assist: Hamilton C.
46'
Sub
Williams M. In: Worrall D.
Out: Williams M.

AI Match Summary

Blackpool in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Blackpool
30%
Draws
39%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Blackpool lately — more wins on the board than Barrow.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Blackpool taking it.
  • Blackpool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Barrow, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Blackpool Clean Sheet 15%
Barrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blackpool Barrow
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Barrow vs Blackpool
2:0
Sep 16, 2025 EFL Trophy
Blackpool vs Barrow
5:0
Sep 5, 2023 EFL Trophy
Barrow vs Blackpool
0:2
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Barrow vs Blackpool
0:5
Aug 9, 2022 EFL Cup
Blackpool vs Barrow
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blackpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Banks S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fletcher A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Barrow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackpool 41 / 100
Barrow 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blackpool Barrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blackpool's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Barrow conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Blackpool went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blackpool VS Barrow
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Blackpool

(Home)
12 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 2
Bromley
05 Sept
Reading
3 : 1
Blackpool
02 Sept
Barnsley
2 : 1
Blackpool
29 Aug
Blackpool
4 : 0
Peterborough
25 Aug
Blackpool
1 : 4
Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6

Barrow

(Away)
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0
Barrow
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2
Barrow
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Barrow
28 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2
Yeovil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Stockport County 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Wolves U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranmere 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Barrow 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Nottingham U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Grimsby 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Everton U21 3 0 0 3 5:12 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
3 Manchester United U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Notts County 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolton 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Rotherham 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Oldham 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Newcastle Utd U21 3 1 0 2 5:11 2
4 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
2 Fleetwood Town 3 3 0 0 9:5 7
3 Accrington 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
4 Leeds U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crewe 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 4:9 4
3 Burton 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Liverpool U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Exeter 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Arsenal U21 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol Rovers 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Cheltenham 3 1 0 2 2:5 2
4 Tottenham U21 3 0 0 3 8:12 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northampton 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Walsall 3 2 0 1 3:2 5
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Chelsea U21 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swindon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 West Ham U21 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Reading 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 12:4 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
3 Bromley 3 1 0 2 5:7 2
4 Crystal Palace U21 3 0 0 3 6:11 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Peterborough 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Gillingham 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Cambridge Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Barnet 3 2 0 1 5:7 5
4 Brighton U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)