Blackpool in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
Blackpool
17%
Draws
70%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 17%Favored: Barrow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
Form's been kind to Blackpool lately — more wins on the board than Barrow.
70% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
Blackpool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Barrow, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)68.6%
Blackpool Clean Sheet20%
Barrow Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Blackpool
Barrow
Matches Played
29
29
Wins
12
8
Draws
4
4
Losses
13
17
Goals Scored
1.13
1.38
Goals Conceded
1
1.75
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.00
1.75
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026Club Friendly
BarrowvsBlackpool
2:0
Sep 16, 2025EFL Trophy
BlackpoolvsBarrow
5:0
Sep 5, 2023EFL Trophy
BarrowvsBlackpool
0:2
Jul 22, 2023Club Friendly
BarrowvsBlackpool
0:5
Aug 9, 2022EFL Cup
BlackpoolvsBarrow
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blackpool Compare
Top GoalscorerBanks S.
2 Goals
Assists LeaderFletcher A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game0.87
Avg xA / game0.56
Barrow Compare
Avg xG / game1.25
Avg xA / game0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blackpool16 / 100
Barrow65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blackpool Barrow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickBAR Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Blackpool's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Barrow conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Blackpool went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.