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Blackpool vs Barrow

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Bloomfield Road, Blackpool
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Banks S.
12' Event
Fletcher A.
Assist: Hamilton C.
46'
Sub
Williams M. In: Worrall D.
Out: Williams M.

AI Match Summary

Blackpool in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Blackpool
17%
Draws
70%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Blackpool lately — more wins on the board than Barrow.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
  • Blackpool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Barrow, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Blackpool Clean Sheet 20%
Barrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blackpool Barrow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Barrow vs Blackpool
2:0
Sep 16, 2025 EFL Trophy
Blackpool vs Barrow
5:0
Sep 5, 2023 EFL Trophy
Barrow vs Blackpool
0:2
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Barrow vs Blackpool
0:5
Aug 9, 2022 EFL Cup
Blackpool vs Barrow
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blackpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Banks S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fletcher A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Barrow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackpool 16 / 100
Barrow 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blackpool Barrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blackpool's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Barrow conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Blackpool went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blackpool VS Barrow
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blackpool

(Home)
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Blackpool
18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0
Blackpool
11 Jul
AFC Fylde
2 : 3
Blackpool
02 May
Reading
0 : 1
Blackpool
25 Apr
Blackpool
1 : 0
Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 6

Barrow

(Away)
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Blackpool
21 Jul
Radcliffe
0 : 0
Barrow
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3
Mansfield
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Workington
04 Jul
Holker Old Boys
0 : 2
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)