Blackpool in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
Blackpool
30%
Draws
39%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 30%Favored: Barrow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
Form's been kind to Blackpool lately — more wins on the board than Barrow.
42% — that's where the model lands on Blackpool taking it.
Blackpool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Barrow, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals99%
Over 1.5 Goals94%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals70%
Over 4.5 Goals32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)69%
Blackpool Clean Sheet15%
Barrow Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Blackpool
Barrow
Matches Played
28
29
Wins
12
8
Draws
5
7
Losses
11
14
Goals Scored
1.25
1.21
Goals Conceded
1.5
1.59
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026Club Friendly
BarrowvsBlackpool
2:0
Sep 16, 2025EFL Trophy
BlackpoolvsBarrow
5:0
Sep 5, 2023EFL Trophy
BarrowvsBlackpool
0:2
Jul 22, 2023Club Friendly
BarrowvsBlackpool
0:5
Aug 9, 2022EFL Cup
BlackpoolvsBarrow
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blackpool Compare
Top GoalscorerBanks S.
2 Goals
Assists LeaderFletcher A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.25
Avg xA / game0.81
Barrow Compare
Avg xG / game1.42
Avg xA / game0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blackpool41 / 100
Barrow36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blackpool Barrow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickDraw (X)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Blackpool's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Barrow conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Blackpool went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.