Sport Picks

Blackpool vs Crewe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Bloomfield Road, Blackpool

Blackpool

Tue, Oct 6, 2026

3 - 2

06:00 PM

Crewe

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Gibson J.

46'

Sub

Offord L. In: Stephenson J.

Out: Offord L.

46'

Sub

Lankester J. In: Thibaut A.

Out: Lankester J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Blackpool

30%

Draws

47%

Crewe

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Crewe average 1.47 goals a game right now, well clear of Blackpool's 1.39.
Model gives Crewe a 47% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Blackpool, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Blackpool Clean Sheet 10%

Crewe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Blackpool	Crewe
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	12	12
Draws	4	10
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.39	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.61	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy

Blackpool vs Crewe

3:2

Sep 3, 2024 EFL Trophy

Blackpool vs Crewe

4:1

Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly

Crewe vs Blackpool

0:2

Mar 2, 2021 League One

Blackpool vs Crewe

1:1

Oct 17, 2020 League One

Crewe vs Blackpool

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blackpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackpool 22 / 100

Crewe 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Blackpool Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:5

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Blackpool found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Crewe conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Blackpool went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blackpool VS Crewe

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 38%

75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blackpool

(Home)

06 Oct

Blackpool

3 : 2

Crewe

22 Sept

Wigan

3 : 2

Blackpool

19 Sept

Blackpool

2 : 4

Plymouth

12 Sept

Blackpool

2 : 2

Bromley

05 Sept

Reading

3 : 1

Blackpool

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Crewe

(Away)

06 Oct

Blackpool

3 : 2

Crewe

03 Oct

Crewe

3 : 1

Bristol Rovers

26 Sept

Rotherham

1 : 1

Crewe

22 Sept

Crewe

4 : 1

Aston Villa U21

19 Sept

Crewe

1 : 1

Shrewsbury

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