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Blacks Power vs Mbale Heroes

Uganda Uganda

Big League
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AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Blacks Power and Mbale Heroes finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blacks Power.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Blacks Power
15%
Draws
0%
Mbale Heroes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blacks Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Blacks Power carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Blacks Power taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Blacks Power Clean Sheet 20%
Mbale Heroes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacks Power Mbale Heroes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.2 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Big League
Blacks Power vs Mbale Heroes
4:0
Jan 8, 2026 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Blacks Power
0:0
May 12, 2024 Big League
Blacks Power vs Mbale Heroes
0:2
Dec 10, 2023 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Blacks Power
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacks Power 85 / 100
Mbale Heroes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacks Power Mbale Heroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacks Power Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mbale Heroes conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Mbale Heroes registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Blacks Power found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Blacks Power VS Mbale Heroes
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacks Power

(Home)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
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Mbale Heroes

(Away)
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Blacks Power
4 : 0
Mbale Heroes
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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