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Blacks Power vs Nebbi Central

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blacks Power in this Big League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacks Power.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Blacks Power
20%
Draws
23%
Nebbi Central
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blacks Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Blacks Power have won more games recently than Nebbi Central.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Blacks Power taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Blacks Power Clean Sheet 20%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacks Power Nebbi Central
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.16 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Big League
Blacks Power vs Nebbi Central
2:1
Oct 9, 2025 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Blacks Power
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacks Power 85 / 100
Nebbi Central 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacks Power Nebbi Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacks Power Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacks Power's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nebbi Central has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Blacks Power went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blacks Power VS Nebbi Central
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacks Power

(Home)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
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Nebbi Central

(Away)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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