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Blacks Power vs NEC FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Premier League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blacks Power host NEC FC in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. NEC FC have shipped 0.55 goals a game lately, while Blacks Power have conceded 0.85 and scored 1.11. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.00 - 1.31) back NEC FC to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Blacks Power
20%
Draws
46%
NEC FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NEC FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • NEC FC have won more games recently than Blacks Power.
  • Win probability leans NEC FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Blacks Power Clean Sheet 18%
NEC FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacks Power NEC FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.11 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacks Power 10 / 100
NEC FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacks Power NEC FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEC FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacks Power found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: NEC FC conceded in 31% of 29 recent games.

Blacks Power went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

NEC FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blacks Power VS NEC FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacks Power

(Home)
11 Oct
Mbarara City
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Oct
Blacks Power
0 : 4
Vipers
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

NEC FC

(Away)
21 Oct
BUL
2 : 1
NEC FC
14 Oct
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 2
NEC FC
08 Oct
NEC FC
0 : 0
Express FC
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
NEC FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 7 6 1 0 15:4 19
2 Villa 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
3 NEC FC 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Entebbe UPPC 7 4 2 1 7:2 14
5 Vipers 6 3 2 1 13:2 11
6 Maroons 7 3 1 3 13:8 10
7 Kampala City 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Blacks Power 6 3 0 3 6:9 9
9 Kitara 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
10 UPDF FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
11 Lugazi 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
12 Police 7 2 2 3 4:10 8
13 Express FC 7 1 3 3 4:6 6
14 Mbarara City 6 1 2 3 2:5 5
15 Uganda Revenue 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Ntugasaze 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
17 Kataka 7 0 2 5 4:17 2
18 Kigezi HomeBoyz 6 0 1 5 1:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)