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Blacks Power vs Ntugasaze Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Hoima City Stadium, Hoima
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Match Events

47' Event
Noll Ogwal A.

AI Match Summary

Blacks Power in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacks Power.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Blacks Power
15%
Draws
20%
Ntugasaze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blacks Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ntugasaze haven't matched Blacks Power's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Blacks Power here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Blacks Power Clean Sheet 20%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacks Power Ntugasaze
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.69 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Blacks Power vs Ntugasaze
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Blacks Power
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Big League
Blacks Power vs Ntugasaze
2:1
Jun 8, 2025 Big League
Blacks Power vs Ntugasaze
5:0
Jan 5, 2025 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Blacks Power
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blacks Power Compare

Top Goalscorer Noll Ogwal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ntugasaze Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacks Power 32 / 100
Ntugasaze 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacks Power Ntugasaze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Blacks Power scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Blacks Power stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Ntugasaze has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Blacks Power VS Ntugasaze
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacks Power

(Home)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
Page 1 of 6

Ntugasaze

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)