Sport Picks
Blacktown City vs APIA Leichhardt
Australia
NPL NSW Landen Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
4'
4'
Hayward S.
33'
33'
Tanaka K.
Own Goal
60'
60'
Konestabo M. S.
AI Match Summary
APIA Leichhardt in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored APIA Leichhardt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APIA Leichhardt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- APIA Leichhardt have won more games recently than Blacktown City.
- Blacktown City are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- APIA Leichhardt have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 10%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blacktown City | APIA Leichhardt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs APIA Leichhardt
1:3
Mar 7, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Blacktown City
3:2
Jun 15, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Blacktown City
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs APIA Leichhardt
4:3
May 25, 2024 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Blacktown City
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blacktown City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hayward S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
APIA Leichhardt Compare
Top Goalscorer Konestabo M. S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ortiz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blacktown City 40 / 100
APIA Leichhardt 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blacktown City APIA Leichhardt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Blacktown City scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
APIA Leichhardt has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Blacktown City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Blacktown City VS APIA Leichhardt
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Blacktown City
(Home) 08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2 Blacktown City
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3 Blacktown City
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0 Sydney Utd
21 Jun
Blacktown City
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
07 Jun
Blacktown City
1 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 3
APIA Leichhardt
(Away) 08 Aug
St George Saints
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1 UNSW
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5 APIA Leichhardt
14 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Peninsula
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
St George Saints
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5 APIA Leichhardt
04 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2 APIA Leichhardt
21 Jun
Blacktown City
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 59:32 | 61 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 39:19 | 57 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 47:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 43:34 | 43 |
| 5 | Rockdale Ilinden | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 44:38 | 40 |
| 6 | Manly Utd | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:31 | 38 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41:44 | 38 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 51:43 | 35 |
| 10 | NWS Spirit | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:37 | 34 |
| 11 | St. George City | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 25:40 | 34 |
| 12 | Wollongong | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30:38 | 32 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 40:44 | 31 |
| 14 | UNSW | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 38:45 | 31 |
| 15 | Sydney Olympic | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 30:58 | 22 |
| 16 | St George Saints | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 25:48 | 21 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
