Sport Picks
Blacktown City vs St. George City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Landen Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
17'
17'
Kuol A.
42'
42'
Mallia M.
77'
77'
Kuzevski S.
AI Match Summary
Blacktown City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacktown City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. George City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Blacktown City haven't matched St. George City's recent run of results.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Blacktown City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 19%
St. George City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blacktown City | St. George City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St. George City
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Blacktown City
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St. George City
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Blacktown City
0:2
Aug 28, 2024 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St. George City
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blacktown City Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuol A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mallia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
St. George City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blacktown City 36 / 100
St. George City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blacktown City St. George City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. George City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Blacktown City scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
St. George City let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Blacktown City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Blacktown City VS St. George City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Blacktown City
(Home) 30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0 UNSW
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0 UNSW
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0 Sydney Utd
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St. George City
(Away) 30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
