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Stadium Background

Blacktown City vs St. George City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Landen Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kuol A.
42' Event
Mallia M.
77' Event
Kuzevski S.

AI Match Summary

Blacktown City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacktown City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Blacktown City
6%
Draws
4%
St. George City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blacktown City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. George City haven't matched Blacktown City's recent run of results.
  • Blacktown City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Blacktown City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 17%
St. George City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacktown City St. George City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St. George City
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Blacktown City
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St. George City
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Blacktown City
0:2
Aug 28, 2024 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St. George City
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blacktown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuol A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mallia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

St. George City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacktown City 84 / 100
St. George City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacktown City St. George City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Blacktown City scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

St. George City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Blacktown City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blacktown City VS St. George City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacktown City

(Home)
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0
St. George City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3
Blacktown City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0
Sydney Utd
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
Blacktown City
21 Jun
Blacktown City
1 : 3
APIA Leichhardt
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St. George City

(Away)
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0
St. George City
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2
UNSW
05 Jul
Wollongong
3 : 3
St. George City
27 Jun
SD Raiders
3 : 1
St. George City
20 Jun
St. George City
1 : 0
NWS Spirit
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)