Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blacktown City vs St George Saints

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Landen Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Major T.
49' Event
Stavropoulos N.
66' Event
Major T.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Blacktown City and St George Saints finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blacktown City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Blacktown City
6%
Draws
4%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blacktown City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blacktown City come out ahead of St George Saints on wins alone.
  • Model gives Blacktown City a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 20%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacktown City St George Saints
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St George Saints
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Blacktown City
3:2
Apr 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St George Saints
3:2
Jun 2, 2024 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St George Saints
3:0
Feb 24, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Blacktown City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blacktown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Major T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

St George Saints Compare

Top Goalscorer Stavropoulos N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacktown City 85 / 100
St George Saints 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacktown City St George Saints

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Blacktown City scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

St George Saints's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Blacktown City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Blacktown City VS St George Saints
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacktown City

(Home)
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2
Blacktown City
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0
St. George City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3
Blacktown City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0
Sydney Utd
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
Blacktown City
Page 1 of 6

St George Saints

(Away)
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0
Sydney FC U23
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
St George Saints
27 Jun
St George Saints
1 : 2
Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)