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Blacktown Spartans vs Dunbar Rovers Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NSW League One 2023
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NSW League One 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Blacktown Spartans
30%
Draws
9%
Dunbar Rovers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blacktown Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Dunbar Rovers haven't matched Blacktown Spartans's recent run of results.
  • Blacktown Spartans are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Blacktown Spartans Clean Sheet 20%
Dunbar Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacktown Spartans Dunbar Rovers
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 26 2
Draws 7 10
Losses 3 18
Goals Scored 2.58 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2024 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Dunbar Rovers
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 NSW League One
Dunbar Rovers vs Blacktown Spartans
3:4
Aug 26, 2023 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Dunbar Rovers
3:3
May 13, 2023 NSW League One
Dunbar Rovers vs Blacktown Spartans
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacktown Spartans 85 / 100
Dunbar Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacktown Spartans Dunbar Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacktown Spartans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacktown Spartans scored in 97% of their last 36 games.

Dunbar Rovers has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Blacktown Spartans went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blacktown Spartans VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacktown Spartans

(Home)
29 Aug
Bulls Academy
2 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
21 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
6 : 2
Hurstville Zagreb
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
07 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
4 : 0
Inter Lions
31 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
Page 1 of 8

Dunbar Rovers

(Away)
24 Aug
Western City Rangers
6 : 1
Dunbar Rovers
16 Aug
Nepean
1 : 1
Dunbar Rovers
10 Aug
Dunbar Rovers
1 : 4
Northern Tigers
03 Aug
Dunbar Rovers
0 : 0
Canterbury Bankstown FC
30 Jul
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1 : 0
Dunbar Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hills United 30 20 6 4 64:38 66
2 St George Saints 30 17 7 6 67:40 58
3 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 30 18 4 8 59:46 58
4 SD Raiders 30 17 4 9 64:43 55
5 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 17 4 9 52:36 55
6 Inter Lions 30 16 4 10 55:49 52
7 Northern Tigers 30 16 3 11 62:37 51
8 Blacktown Spartans 30 12 8 10 48:45 44
9 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
10 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 9 8 13 40:42 35
11 Rydalmere Lions 30 10 3 17 38:53 33
12 Dulwich Hill 30 9 5 16 43:56 32
13 Macarthur Rams 30 9 5 16 34:55 32
14 Dunbar Rovers 30 8 5 17 36:61 29
15 Mounties Wanderers FC 30 8 3 19 44:58 27
16 Central Coast United 30 4 5 21 37:81 17
Promotion - NPL NSW 2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2024 (Relegation)