Sport Picks

Blaen-y-Maes vs Ely Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales

FAW Welsh Cup

Blaen-y-Maes

5 - 2

Ely Rangers

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Blaen-y-Maes

25%

Draws

35%

Ely Rangers

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Blaen-y-Maes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ely Rangers come out ahead of Blaen-y-Maes on wins alone.
Blaen-y-Maes are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Ely Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Blaen-y-Maes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Blaen-y-Maes Clean Sheet 20%

Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Blaen-y-Maes	Ely Rangers
Matches Played	10	29
Wins	5	10
Draws	3	3
Losses	2	16
Goals Scored	1.8	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 FAW Welsh Cup

Blaen-y-Maes vs Ely Rangers

5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blaen-y-Maes 36 / 100

Ely Rangers 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Blaen-y-Maes Ely Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ely Rangers conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ely Rangers has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Blaen-y-Maes VS Ely Rangers

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blaen-y-Maes

(Home)

Ely Rangers

(Away)

21 Sept

Llantwit Major

3 : 2

Ely Rangers

16 Sept

Trethomas Bluebirds

4 : 1

Ely Rangers

08 Dec

Barry Town

3 : 1

Ely Rangers

10 Nov

Ely Rangers

6 : 1

Aberbargoed Buds

06 Oct

Ely Rangers

3 : 1

Bryntirion Athletic

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Airbus UK Broughton FC 1

TNS 2

Coedpoeth -

Guilsfield -

Llannefydd -

Llandudno FC -

Newtown -

Llanuwchllyn -

Bala -

Holyhead -

Connahs Q. 4

Porthmadog 0

Penycae FC -

Dolgellau Athletic -

Aberystwyth -

Prestatyn -

Flint Town -

Caernarfon -

Llay Welfare -

Holywell Town FC -

Buckley -

Colwyn Bay -

Brickfield Rangers -

Llangefni -

Denbigh 0

Bangor 1876 2

Cefn Albion -

Felinheli -

Llysfaen -

Mochdre Sports -

Pontarddulais -

Goytre Utd -

Trefelin -

Llantwit Major -

Afan Lido -

Penybont -

Caerau Ely 6

Llanelli 0

Blaen-y-Maes -

Ely Rangers -

Radnor Valley -

Cardiff Draconians -

Barry Town -

Tredegar Town -

Cwmaman Institute -

Ammanford Town -

Llangennech -

Pontardawe -

Caerphilly -

Chepstow Town -

Evans Williams 3

Rockspur 4

Briton Ferry 5

Afan United 0

Llantwit Fardre -

Baglan Dragons -

Cardiff Metropolitan University 4

Ynyshir Albions 0

Cambrian United 5

Trethomas Bluebirds 0

Carmarthen Town -

Newport City -

Haverfordwest -

Cardiff Corries -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Blaen-y-Maes vs Ely Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales

Blaen-y-Maes

Ely Rangers

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Blaen-y-Maes

Ely Rangers

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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