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Blaublitz vs Tokushima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Soyu Stadium, Akita
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Match Events

16' Event
Nonomura T.
Assist: Nakano Y.
23' Event
Lucas Barcelos
Assist: Watari D.
27' Event
Suzuki S.
Assist: Nakano Y.

AI Match Summary

Blaublitz in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blaublitz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Blaublitz
30%
Draws
28%
Tokushima
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blaublitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tokushima have won more games recently than Blaublitz.
  • Win probability leans Blaublitz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Blaublitz Clean Sheet 68%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blaublitz Tokushima
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 J2 League
Blaublitz vs Tokushima
4:1
Aug 30, 2025 J2 League
Tokushima vs Blaublitz
1:1
Apr 29, 2025 J2 League
Blaublitz vs Tokushima
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 J2 League
Blaublitz vs Tokushima
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 J2 League
Tokushima vs Blaublitz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blaublitz Compare

Top Goalscorer Suzuki S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nonomura T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Barcelos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blaublitz 95 / 100
Tokushima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blaublitz Tokushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blaublitz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blaublitz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Blaublitz scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tokushima has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Blaublitz VS Tokushima
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Blaublitz

(Home)
04 Oct
Blaublitz
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2
Albirex Niigata
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Blaublitz
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1
Tokushima
06 Sept
Blaublitz
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija
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Tokushima

(Away)
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Tokushima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
2 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
3 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
4 Omiya Ardija 9 4 5 0 17:8 17
5 Yokohama FC 9 5 2 2 18:11 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Fujieda MYFC 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
8 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
9 Tokushima 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
10 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
11 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
12 Oita Trinita 9 2 5 2 9:7 11
13 Tochigi City 9 3 1 5 15:15 10
14 Iwata 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
15 Vanraure 9 3 1 5 5:14 10
16 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
17 Sagan Tosu 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
18 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 9 2 2 5 12:18 8
19 Imabari 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
20 Kofu 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
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