Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blauw Geel vs GOES

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Blauw Geel and GOES finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blauw Geel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Blauw Geel
20%
Draws
40%
GOES
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blauw Geel come out ahead of GOES on wins alone.
  • Blauw Geel are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%
GOES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blauw Geel GOES
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs GOES
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs GOES
4:0
Nov 9, 2025 Derde Divisie
GOES vs Blauw Geel
2:0
May 4, 2025 Derde Divisie
GOES vs Blauw Geel
0:3
Nov 24, 2024 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs GOES
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blauw Geel 47 / 100
GOES 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blauw Geel GOES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GOES let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Blauw Geel's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Blauw Geel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Blauw Geel VS GOES
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Blauw Geel

(Home)
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3
Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1
Blauw Geel
29 Aug
Achilles Veen
3 : 2
Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 7

GOES

(Away)
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1
UNA
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
02 Sept
GOES
0 : 1
VV Noordwijk
30 Aug
GOES
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)