Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blauw Geel vs Lienden

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 29, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blauw Geel host Lienden in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Blauw Geel at 1.5 goals for, 1.7 against; Lienden at 0.84 for, 1.89 against. Past meetings favor Blauw Geel slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.25) back Blauw Geel to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Blauw Geel
20%
Draws
29%
Lienden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blauw Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Blauw Geel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 19%
Lienden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blauw Geel Lienden
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2020 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs Lienden
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs Blauw Geel
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blauw Geel 31 / 100
Lienden 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blauw Geel Lienden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lienden conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

Blauw Geel found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Blauw Geel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blauw Geel VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Blauw Geel

(Home)
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3
Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1
Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 6

Lienden

(Away)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)