Sport Picks
Blauw Geel vs Smitshoek Prediction & H2H Stats
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2024/2025 
Match Events
6'
6'
van der Zanden K.
13'
13'
de Meij D.
41'
41'
de Meij D.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Blauw Geel and Smitshoek finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blauw Geel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blauw Geel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Smitshoek haven't matched Blauw Geel's recent run of results.
- Blauw Geel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 19%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Smitshoek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2025 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs Smitshoek
5:4
Sep 7, 2024 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs Blauw Geel
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blauw Geel Compare
Top Goalscorer de Meij D.
2 Goals Assists Leader van der Zanden K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Smitshoek Compare
Top Goalscorer Bos L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Akinrinbola X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blauw Geel 85 / 100
Smitshoek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blauw Geel Smitshoek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Smitshoek has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 5.50 goals.
Attacking prowess: Blauw Geel scored in 75% of their last 36 outings.
Blauw Geel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Blauw Geel VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Blauw Geel
(Home) 26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3 Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2 GOES
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2 GOES
23 Aug
Blauw Geel
0 : 0 Rijnvogels
16 May
Blauw Geel
3 : 2 SVV Scheveningen
26 Apr
Blauw Geel
0 : 2 UNA
Page 1 of 4
Smitshoek
(Away) 02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
12 Apr
ASWH
3 : 5 Smitshoek
22 Mar
GOES
1 : 3 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
