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Bleiburg vs Atus Ferlach

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2025/2026 game between Bleiburg and Atus Ferlach finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bleiburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bleiburg
30%
Draws
39%
Atus Ferlach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atus Ferlach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Atus Ferlach haven't matched Bleiburg's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Karnten 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bleiburg Clean Sheet 13%
Atus Ferlach Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bleiburg Atus Ferlach
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Karnten
Bleiburg vs Atus Ferlach
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Bleiburg
1:0
Apr 16, 2025 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Bleiburg
3:0
Aug 17, 2024 Karnten
Bleiburg vs Atus Ferlach
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 Karnten
Bleiburg vs Atus Ferlach
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bleiburg 35 / 100
Atus Ferlach 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bleiburg Atus Ferlach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atus Ferlach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atus Ferlach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Bleiburg scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Bleiburg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bleiburg VS Atus Ferlach
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bleiburg

(Home)
19 Sept
Bleiburg
2 : 4
Atus Velden
12 Sept
Bleiburg
0 : 2
Volkermarkt
04 Sept
Bleiburg
3 : 1
Treibach
30 Aug
Wolfsberger AC (Am)
2 : 2
Bleiburg
22 Aug
Bleiburg
3 : 4
A. Klagenfurt
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Atus Ferlach

(Away)
18 Sept
Atus Ferlach
3 : 1
Lendorf
11 Sept
KAC 1909
1 : 0
Atus Ferlach
04 Sept
Atus Ferlach
2 : 2
SC St. Veit
29 Aug
Seeboden
1 : 1
Atus Ferlach
21 Aug
Atus Ferlach
1 : 2
Launsdorf
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