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Blekitni Stargard vs Grom Nowy Staw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blekitni Stargard host Grom Nowy Staw in the III Liga - Group II. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Grom Nowy Staw have shipped 2.1 goals a game lately, while Blekitni Stargard have conceded 1.47 and scored 2.07. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 2.31) point toward Blekitni Stargard. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Blekitni Stargard
20%
Draws
34%
Grom Nowy Staw
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Blekitni Stargard have won more games recently than Grom Nowy Staw.
  • Win probability leans Blekitni Stargard's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Grom Nowy Staw
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.07 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 83 / 100
Grom Nowy Staw 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Grom Nowy Staw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blekitni Stargard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blekitni Stargard's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Grom Nowy Staw conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

Recent resilience: Blekitni Stargard stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Grom Nowy Staw lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Grom Nowy Staw
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Blekitni Stargard

(Home)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 6

Grom Nowy Staw

(Away)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)