Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blekitni Stargard vs Kotwica Kornik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Krocz S.
18' Event
Krocz S.
20' Event
Hyl G.

AI Match Summary

Kotwica Kornik in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kotwica Kornik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Blekitni Stargard
30%
Draws
23%
Kotwica Kornik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kotwica Kornik haven't matched Blekitni Stargard's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Blekitni Stargard taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Kotwica Kornik
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Kotwica Kornik
2:4
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Kotwica Kornik
3:1
Aug 24, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Blekitni Stargard
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Krocz S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kotwica Kornik Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyl G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sarnowski I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 83 / 100
Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Kotwica Kornik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blekitni Stargard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blekitni Stargard's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kotwica Kornik conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Blekitni Stargard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Kotwica Kornik
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Blekitni Stargard

(Home)
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 7

Kotwica Kornik

(Away)
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)