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Blekitni Stargard vs Kotwica Kornik

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fadecki W.
14' Event
Fadecki W.
19'
Marczak M.

AI Match Summary

Blekitni Stargard in this III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blekitni Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Blekitni Stargard
6%
Draws
4%
Kotwica Kornik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Blekitni Stargard lately — more wins on the board than Kotwica Kornik.
  • Model gives Blekitni Stargard a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 18%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Kotwica Kornik
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Kotwica Kornik
3:1
Aug 24, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Blekitni Stargard
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadecki W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kotwica Kornik Compare

Top Goalscorer Wodecki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 85 / 100
Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Kotwica Kornik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kotwica Kornik has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Blekitni Stargard stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Blekitni Stargard's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Kotwica Kornik
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kleczew34226660:3572
2Blekitni Stargard34196978:4563
3Zawisza34178965:4159
4Pogon Szczecin II341513672:4558
5Lech Poznan II34169965:4757
6Unia Swarzedz341510958:4755
7Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341491167:5851
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341461447:4748
9Elana Torun341114944:4247
10Wda Swiecie3412101247:4146
11Notec Czarnkow341361561:6445
12Swinoujscie341281448:5644
13Cartusia Kartuzy341271543:5143
14Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal341071732:5437
15Kotwica Kornik348121449:6036
16Gedania Gdansk341042043:8034
17Gryf Slupsk346121638:5530
18Vineta Wolin34452548:9717