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Blekitni Stargard vs Lech Poznan II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Starzycki B.
13' Event
Starzycki B.
24' Event
Falkiewicz J.

AI Match Summary

Blekitni Stargard in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blekitni Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Blekitni Stargard
35%
Draws
32%
Lech Poznan II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Blekitni Stargard have won more games recently than Lech Poznan II.
  • Blekitni Stargard are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 14%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Lech Poznan II
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.1 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Lech Poznan II
4:2
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Blekitni Stargard
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Lech Poznan II
3:3
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Blekitni Stargard
2:4
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Lech Poznan II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Starzycki B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Graczyk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Falkiewicz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 84 / 100
Lech Poznan II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Lech Poznan II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blekitni Stargard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blekitni Stargard found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Lech Poznan II has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Blekitni Stargard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Lech Poznan II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blekitni Stargard

(Home)
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
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Lech Poznan II

(Away)
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Grom Nowy Staw
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)