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Blekitni Stargard vs Lipno Steszew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
3 - 4
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fadecki W.
(Penalty)
14' Event
Kryger W.
23' Event
Kaptur S.

AI Match Summary

Blekitni Stargard host Lipno Steszew in the III Liga - Group II. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Lipno Steszew have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Blekitni Stargard have conceded 1.45 and scored 2.06. Head-to-head, Blekitni Stargard have won 2 to Lipno Steszew's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.44, favoring Blekitni Stargard. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Blekitni Stargard
30%
Draws
23%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Blekitni Stargard lately — more wins on the board than Lipno Steszew.
  • Win probability leans Blekitni Stargard's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 16%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.06 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Blekitni Stargard
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Lipno Steszew
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Remisz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Kryger W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaptur S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 84 / 100
Lipno Steszew 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blekitni Stargard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blekitni Stargard scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Lipno Steszew conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Blekitni Stargard stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Lipno Steszew
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Blekitni Stargard

(Home)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 7

Lipno Steszew

(Away)
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)