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Blekitni Stargard vs Luzino Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Kurbiel P.
52' Event
Konkol D.
61' Event
Prawucki K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Blekitni Stargard and Luzino finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Blekitni Stargard
20%
Draws
48%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luzino come out ahead of Blekitni Stargard on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Luzino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
Luzino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Luzino
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 21
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.03 2.35
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Luzino
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Luzino
1:4
Sep 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Blekitni Stargard
2:2
Jun 8, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Blekitni Stargard
4:3
Nov 18, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Luzino
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Prawucki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurbiel P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Konkol D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 26 / 100
Luzino 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Luzino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Blekitni Stargard scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Luzino conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Blekitni Stargard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Luzino
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Blekitni Stargard

(Home)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 7

Luzino

(Away)
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)