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Blekitni Stargard vs Notec Czarnkow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blekitni Stargard host Notec Czarnkow in the III Liga - Group II. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Blekitni Stargard have averaged 2.09 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Notec Czarnkow's 1.45 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Blekitni Stargard have won 2 to Notec Czarnkow's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.50, favoring Blekitni Stargard. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Blekitni Stargard
30%
Draws
33%
Notec Czarnkow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Notec Czarnkow have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Blekitni Stargard are scoring more at 2.09.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Blekitni Stargard taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 16%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.09 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Notec Czarnkow
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Blekitni Stargard
3:1
May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Notec Czarnkow
5:1
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Blekitni Stargard
1:4
Jun 1, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Notec Czarnkow
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 84 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Notec Czarnkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blekitni Stargard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blekitni Stargard scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Notec Czarnkow let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Blekitni Stargard remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Notec Czarnkow
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Blekitni Stargard

(Home)
31 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
0 : 0
Blekitni Stargard
24 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
17 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
Page 1 of 7

Notec Czarnkow

(Away)
31 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
1 : 4
Chemik Bydgoszcz
24 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
0 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
17 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
3 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
4 Kluczevia Stargard 14 8 2 4 25:22 26
5 Lech Poznan II 14 7 3 4 36:27 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)