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Stadium Background

Blekitni Stargard vs Stolem Gniewino

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Misztal F.
38' Event
Aftyka G.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Misztal F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Blekitni Stargard
6%
Draws
4%
Stolem Gniewino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Blekitni Stargard have won more games recently than Stolem Gniewino.
  • Blekitni Stargard are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 18%
Stolem Gniewino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Stolem Gniewino
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Stolem Gniewino
2:2
Sep 23, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Stolem Gniewino vs Blekitni Stargard
0:6
Mar 18, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Stolem Gniewino
2:2
Aug 17, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Stolem Gniewino vs Blekitni Stargard
1:2
Mar 19, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Stolem Gniewino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Niedojad-Bednarczyk D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Stolem Gniewino Compare

Top Goalscorer Misztal F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 85 / 100
Stolem Gniewino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Stolem Gniewino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Blekitni Stargard stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Stolem Gniewino registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Blekitni Stargard's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swit Szczecin34274375:1785
2Elana Torun34218556:2171
3Unia Swarzedz34196966:4663
4Zawisza341771073:3858
5Blekitni Stargard341741380:6255
6Notec Czarnkow341551473:6350
7Gedania Gdansk341621658:5650
8Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341551455:6150
9Pogon Szczecin II341541563:6049
10Nowe Skalmierzyce341471356:5049
11Kleczew341461459:6548
12Swinoujscie341441645:6046
13Vineta Wolin341361542:6645
14Cartusia Kartuzy341281460:5144
15Luzino341042048:7134
16Stolem Gniewino34891734:5833
17Unia Solec Kujawski34742340:8025
18Starogard Gdanski34272539:9713