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Blekitni Stargard vs Swinoujscie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Prawucki K.
56' Event
Niedojad-Bednarczyk D.
63' Event
Prawucki K.

AI Match Summary

Blekitni Stargard in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blekitni Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Blekitni Stargard
6%
Draws
4%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Blekitni Stargard at 1.88 per game, Swinoujscie at 1.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Blekitni Stargard taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Blekitni Stargard have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 20%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Swinoujscie
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Blekitni Stargard vs Swinoujscie
4:0
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Swinoujscie
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Blekitni Stargard
1:1
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Blekitni Stargard
2:3
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Blekitni Stargard vs Swinoujscie
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Prawucki K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Niedojad-Bednarczyk D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Swinoujscie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 85 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Swinoujscie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swinoujscie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Blekitni Stargard has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Blekitni Stargard found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Swinoujscie
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415