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Blekitni Stargard vs Victoria Wrzesnia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

65'
Liskiewicz M.
65'
Liskiewicz M.
70' Event
Graczyk M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Blekitni Stargard and Victoria Wrzesnia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Blekitni Stargard
35%
Draws
30%
Victoria Wrzesnia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blekitni Stargard come out ahead of Victoria Wrzesnia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Blekitni Stargard a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 16%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Victoria Wrzesnia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Victoria Wrzesnia
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Blekitni Stargard
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Graczyk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gielda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 75 / 100
Victoria Wrzesnia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Victoria Wrzesnia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blekitni Stargard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blekitni Stargard's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Victoria Wrzesnia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Blekitni Stargard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Victoria Wrzesnia
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blekitni Stargard

(Home)
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 7

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Away)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)